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Posted by Andrew Yee on July 11, 2005, 10:36 am
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45th Weather Squadron
45th Space Wing, Patrick Air Force Base
Cape Canaveral Air Force Station, Florida
Launch Mission Execution Forecast
Vehicle: STS-114 Return To Flight
Issued: 11 July 2005/1100Z (0700 EDT)
Valid: 13 July 2005
Launch Weather Team: (321) 853-8484
Synoptic Discussion: Tropical Depression Dennis is
inland over NE Mississippi, and high pressure is
building back in over the Western Atlantic. On launch
day, the high pressure ridge will remain north of
KSC causing southeasterly flow over the area. Morning
coastal showers are expected, and possibly thunderstorm
activity over KSC as the sea breeze develops during
the late morning/early afternoon, but the sea breeze
should migrate inland by launch time. Still, there
is a threat the storms associated with the sea breeze
will be within 20NM of the Shuttle Landing Facility
at launch time, causing a concern for Return to Launch
Site weather.
Clouds Coverage Bases (feet) Tops (feet)
Cumulus 3/8 Scattered 3,000 5,000
Altocumulus 3/8 Scattered 8,000 9,000
Cirrus 3/8 Scattered 25,000 26,000
Weather: Thunderstorms Inland
Visibility: 7 miles
Wind: 120 deg / 10-15 KT
(60 foot pad winds)
Temperature: 86 F RH: 70% Dewpoint: 75 F
Probability of KSC weather prohibiting launch: 30%
Probability of KSC weather prohibiting Tanking: 5%
Primary concern(s): Cumulus clouds, RTLS weather.
Probability of KSC weather prohibiting launch for
24-hour delay 40%
Probability of KSC weather prohibiting Tanking: 5%
Primary concern(s): Cumulus clouds, lightning,
anvils, RTLS weather.
Probability of KSC weather prohibiting launch for
48-hour delay 40%
Probability of KSC weather prohibiting Tanking: 5%
Primary concern(s): Cumulus clouds, lightning,
anvils, RTLS weather.
Sunrise: 13/0634 EDT Sunset: 13/2022 EDT
14/0635 EDT 14/2022 EDT
15/0635 EDT 15/2022 EDT
Moonrise: 13/1244 EDT Moonset: 14/0041 EST Illumination: 13 July 44%
14/1340 EDT 15/0111 EDT 14 July 54%
15/1439 EDT 16/0145 EDT 15 July 64%
Illumination: 13 July 44%
14 July 54%
15 July 64%
Next forecast will be issued: 12 July 2005, 0700 EDT
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