STS-116 L-1 Launch Weather Forecast, issued 8 Dec 2006 (Forwarded)

STS-116 L-1 Launch Weather Forecast, issued 8 Dec 2006 (Forwarded)

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STS-116 L-1 Launch Weather Forecast, issued 8 Dec 2006 (Forwarded) Andrew Yee 12-08-2006
Posted by Andrew Yee on December 8, 2006, 11:59 am
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STS-116 Launch Weather Forecast

Vehicle: STS-116, Discovery
Issued: 8 December 2006/0530Z (0030EST)
Valid: 10 December 2006/0124 - 0152Z (9 December/2024 - 2052EST)
Launch Weather Team: 45th Space Wing, Patrick AFB, FL

Synoptic Discussion:
High pressure is migrating into the Eastern US, increasing the pressure
gradient over Central Florida; therefore, cool, windy conditions will
affect Kennedy Space Center (KSC) Friday. By Saturday, winds will
gradually decrease as the high pressure area migrates east, but Shuttle
Landing Facility (SLF) crosswinds worsen as the winds continue to turn
northeast. Also, the easterly flow causes concern for low clouds and
isolated showers.

Our primary concerns for launch day are SLF crosswinds, a low cloud
ceiling, and isolated showers.

Clouds Coverage Bases (feet) Tops (feet)
Stratocumulus 4/8 Scattered 3,000 5,000
Cirrus 2/8 Broken 20,000 22,000

Weather: Chance of isolated showers.
Visibility: 7 miles
Wind: 060 deg @ 15 - 20 KT (60 foot pad winds)
Temperature: 63 F RH: 90% Dewpoint: 60 F

Probability of KSC weather prohibiting launch: 70%
Probability of KSC weather prohibiting tanking: 0%
Primary concern(s): SLF crosswinds, a low cloud ceiling, isolated showers.

Probability of KSC weather prohibiting launch for 24-hour delay 60%
Probability of KSC weather prohibiting tanking: 0%
Primary concern(s): SLF crosswinds, a low cloud ceiling, isolated showers.

Probability of KSC weather prohibiting launch for 48-hour delay 60%
Probability of KSC weather prohibiting tanking: 0%
Primary concern(s): SLF crosswinds, a low cloud ceiling, isolated showers.

Sunrise: 9/0704 EST Sunset: 9/1731 EST
10/0705 EST 10/1731 EST
11/0706 EST 11/1731 EST

Moonrise: 9/2210 EST Moonset: 10/1140 EST Illumination: 9-10 Dec.: 72%
10/2305 EST 11/1209 EST 10-11 Dec.: 63%
11/2358 EST 12/1237 EST 11-12 Dec.: 54%

Next forecast will be issued: As needed.



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